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☆ After the Moscow Attack, Putin’s Next Escalation Is Coming - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-29 | by ( Hanna Notte | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

In the wake of the terrorist attack at Moscow’s Crocus City Hall last Friday, which killed at least 143 people, Russia is in mourning. Despite ISIS claiming responsibility for the attack, the Russian leadership has repeatedly blamed Ukraine and its Western backers. But even without the Crocus City Hall attack, Mr. Putin was primed to step up his assault on Ukraine. After his landslide victory in this month’s rubber-stamp presidential election, Mr. Putin is more secure than ever in his position and free to focus fully on the war effort. The timing is good, too: With Western military support for Kyiv mired in uncertainty, the next few months offer Moscow a window of opportunity for new offensives.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, “, ”, Dmitri Peskov, Putin Organizations: Moscow’s, ISIS Locations: Moscow’s Crocus, Russia, Ukraine, Kyiv, Crocus, Russian, Moscow

☆ Russia is seeking to fan the flames of war in the Middle East amid Western airstrikes against the Houthi in Yemen
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-12 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewIn the wake of US and UK airstrikes in Yemen early Friday, Russia sought to portray itself as an opponent to impetuous Western aggression. Zakharova said the strikes showed a "complete disregard for international law" and were "escalating the situation in the region." AdvertisementYemen's Houthi loyalists lift their weapons as they take part in an armed parade on December 20, 2023, in Amran province, Yemen. The Houthis say they are acting in support of Palestinians amid Israel's attacks on Gaza, and are targeting vessels bound for Israel. A wider conflict in the region would divert Western focus away from helping defend Ukraine from Russia's invasion, and sap Western resources.

Persons: —, Maria Zakharova, Zakharova, Iran's, Yemen's, Mohammed Hamoud, Israel, shouldn't, Hanna Notte, . Robert Dover, Vladimir Putin, KREMLIN.RU, Putin audaciously, Putin, Anna Borshchevskaya Organizations: Service, Business, UN, New York Times, Center for Strategic, International Studies, UN Security, University of Hull, Dover, United, United Arab Emirates, REUTERS, Hamas, Washington Institute Locations: Yemen, Russia, Amran province, Iran, Red, Gaza, Israel, Africa, Russian, Moscow, Ukraine, Qasr Al Watan, Abu Dhabi, United Arab, Handout, REUTERS Russia, Russia's, Saudi Arabia, UAE

Ten days after that, Russia said a Hamas delegation was in Moscow for talks. Moscow has offered to host a regional meeting of foreign ministers and Putin has said that Russia is well placed to help. "My explanation is it's because the war is becoming the organising principle of Russian foreign policy and (because of) ties with Iran, which brings military materiel to the table. The central Russian war effort is more important than, for example, the relationship with Israel." "We're going to finish this war (with Hamas) ... After this, Russia will pay the price," Weitmann said in a stormy October interview with Russian state broadcaster RT.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Yosri, Putin, Benjamin Netanyahu, Sergei Markov, Washington, Hanna Notte, Moscow, Alexei Pushkov, Pushkov, Markov, Alex Gabuev, Anatoly Viktorov, Alexander Ben Zvi, Mikhail Bogdanov, Amir Weitmann, Weitmann, we're, Andrew Osborn, Mike Collett, White, Nick Macfie Organizations: Hamas, West Bank, REUTERS, West, EU, Kremlin, U.S, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Likud, RT, Ukraine, Thomson Locations: Russian, Gaza, Israel, Hebron, Russia, Moscow, United States, U.S, EU, Iran, Tehran, Ukraine, Berlin, Washington, Palestine, Arab, Jerusalem, Syria

☆ The War in Gaza Is Giving Russia’s Putin What He Wants - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Hanna Notte | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

Mr. Biden has vowed that the United States can support both Israel’s and Ukraine’s security needs, and is asking Congress for $105 billion in emergency funding to cover them. But Israel may eventually need weapons that are now running short in Ukraine, including armed drones and artillery rounds. Trapped in a war of attrition of its own making, Russia must be relishing the appearance of a new and demanding conflict for the United States, draining the strength of its adversaries. What’s more, the war in Gaza threatens to postpone — if not derail — the Biden administration’s efforts to normalize relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia. The Kremlin’s response to the war in Gaza, putting distance between itself and Washington’s unequivocal pro-Israel stance, is designed to exploit those feelings further.

Persons: Biden, What’s, —, David, Israel Organizations: Abraham Accords, Kremlin Locations: United States, Israel, Ukraine, Russia, Gaza, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Saudi, Moscow, American, Iran, Europe

☆ Turkey’s Double Dealing in the Ukraine War
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Michael Kimmage | Hanna Notte | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky (left) with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan after their meeting in Istanbul on July 7. Photo: Tolga Bozoglu/Zuma PressAt the last minute, Turkey gave a gift to NATO, whose members gathered in Vilnius this week for a much-anticipated summit. It dropped its objections to Sweden’s entry into the alliance, confirming NATO’s transformation after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Not only have NATO member states given a remarkable amount of military aid to Ukraine. The alliance itself has grown to include Finland and will soon include Sweden, two affluent democracies that will strengthen NATO.

Persons: Volodymyr Zelensky, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Tolga Bozoglu Organizations: Zuma Press, NATO Locations: Istanbul, Turkey, Vilnius, Ukraine, Finland, Sweden

☆ Analysis: The 'mayfly' mutiny evaporates, but Russia is a changed place
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( Tim Lister | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

CNN —The weekend’s events in Russia seem an almost surreal interruption to the long slog of conflict unfolding in neighboring Ukraine. Yevgeny Prigozhin’s challenge to the Russian state erupted and receded in the space of 24 hours, but the consequences of his short-lived mutiny may reverberate for much longer. Prigozhin’s Wagner forces, for all his boasting, were never going to be a match for the Russian security forces. And yet, the saga was humiliating to the Russian military and at least embarrassing to the Kremlin. One Ukrainian military officer was provocatively shown on social media eating popcorn as he watched events in Russia unfold.

Persons: Yevgeny Prigozhin’s, Prigozhin’s Wagner, Prigozhin’s bluster, Sergei Shoigu, Prigozhin, Vladimir Putin, Mikhail Gorbachev –, Putin, Mikhailo Podolyak, It’s, ”, Pavel Zarubin, Russia “, Thomas Graham, Prigozhin’s, Wagner, ” Putin, Staff Valery Gerasimov, CFR’s Graham, Antony Blinken, ” Graham, Russia’s, Phillips O’Brien, “, Hanna Notte, ” Notte, there’s, STRINGER, “ Prigozhin, Stalin, Stephen Kotkin, Kremlin “, Kotkin Organizations: CNN, Southern Military, Kyiv, Council, Foreign Relations, Defense Ministry, Staff, ’, Moscow –, University of St, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Twitter, Getty Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Prigozhin, Rostov, Russian, Voronezh, Ukrainian, Africa, Syria, Bakhmut, St, Petersburg, Andrews, Scotland, West, AFP, Kremlin

☆ The Perils of Premature Negotiation Over Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-02 | by ( Michael Kimmage | Hanna Notte | ) www.wsj.com time to read: +1 min

One year after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the engines of diplomacy are revving up. France, Germany and the United Kingdom have recently floated the idea of giving Ukraine a security guarantee. The Biden administration has repeatedly pledged to support Ukraine for “as long as it takes.” But Washington isn’t free from constraints. There is a limit to the money and materiel the U.S. can send to Ukraine. Absent the decisive defeat of Russia or Ukraine, the war will have to end with a negotiated settlement.

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